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☆ Key Inflation Measure Shows Drop Below 3% Annual Rate in December
  + stars: | 2024-01-26 | by ( Tim Smart | Jan. | At A.M. | ) www.usnews.com   time to read: +4 min
The overall personal consumption expenditures price index rose 2% for the month, as did the core index that omits food and energy costs. On an annual basis, the overall index remained unchanged at 2.6% while the core fell to 2.9% from 3.2% in November. The rise in the core index was the slowest since the spring of 2021. The core index is often cited by Fed officials as their barometer for inflation. “The meeting statement is likely to drop the hawkish bias from its forward guidance, but stop short of signaling rate cuts.
Persons: ”, Robert Frick, “, Lydia Boussour, Jerome Powell, Jeremy Schwartz, Ruchir Sharma Organizations: Federal, Economic, Fed, Navy Federal Credit Union, Federal Reserve, Reserve, Nomura Securities, Nomura, Aichi Amemiya
☆ The Fed's been aggressively hiking rates over the past year. The banking crisis could force them to halt the hikes — or even cut them, analysts say.
  + stars: | 2023-03-14 | by ( Huileng Tan | ) www.businessinsider.com   time to read: +3 min
Nomura economists expect the Fed to cut interest rates by 0.25 percentage points next week. That's because bond prices and yields have an inverse relation, so when interest rates drop, prices bond prices tend to go up, which could alleviate losses. The Fed hiked interest rates eight times over the past year to its targeted levels of 4.5% to 4.75% now. On Sunday, investment banking giant Goldman Sachs said it doesn't expect the Fed to hike interest rates at its next meeting. The investment banking giant was previously expecting the US central bank to hike the rate by 0.25 percentage points.
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